The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 59¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Sports · resolves May 21 · vol $17.63
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 59¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dotabuff.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 9.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.