The market moved
-3.0ppin 24h · now 49¢
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
Sports · resolves Jul 15 · vol $85.7K
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 49¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dotabuff.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 22.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.