Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 25.9pp shift. Resolution depends on earthquake.usgs.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: earthquake.usgs.gov — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.