The market moved
+2.0ppin 24h · now 79¢
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
Sports · resolves May 16 · vol $4.4K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 79¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 21.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.