The market moved
-10.5ppin 24h · now 26¢
Exact Score: Nantwich Town FC 2 - 2 Sporting Khalsa FC?
Other · resolves Aug 11 · vol $44.11
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: disputed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "disputed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
- Market resolves in 18.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.