The market moved

-16.0ppin 24h · now 26¢

Exact Score: Nantwich Town FC 3 - 1 Sporting Khalsa FC?

Other · resolves Aug 11 · vol $44.11

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: disputed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "disputed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
  • Market resolves in 17.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.