The market moved
-11.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?
Politics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1939806847504105683).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.