The market moved
+3.5ppin 24h · now 18¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
Tech · resolves Aug 19 · vol $129.09
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 18¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.