The market moved
-3.8ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?
Tech · resolves Jan 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.8pp shift. Resolution depends on post counter — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Post Counter — https://www.xtracker.io/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.