The market moved

+64.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Tech · resolves Dec 12 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 64.9pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.