The market moved
+1.4ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Tech · resolves Jul 21 · vol $7.2K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 5¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.4pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.