The market moved
+11.5ppin 24h · now 55¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Tech · resolves Jul 6 · vol $618.17
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 55¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.