The market moved

+7.3ppin 24h · now 20¢

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Tech · resolves Jun 19 · vol $10.5K

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 20¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.3pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.