The market moved
-14.0ppin 24h · now 17¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Tech · resolves Jun 6 · vol $3.3K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.0pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.