The market moved

-2.8ppin 24h · now

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Tech · resolves May 19 · vol $117.8K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.8pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.