The market moved

+0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Tech · resolves May 16 · vol $3.0K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.