The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Tech · resolves May 16 · vol $2.5K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 3¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.