The market moved

+1.5ppin 24h · now 10¢

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Tech · resolves May 22 · vol $6.3K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 10¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+1.5pp · Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Orrery