The market moved
-1.8ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Tech · resolves May 26 · vol $3.8K
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.8pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.