The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Tech · resolves May 26 · vol $627.25

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 7¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+1.0pp · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | Orrery