The market moved
+62.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 62.0pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69638651/24/1/state-of-new-mexico-v-musk/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.