The market moved
-18.0ppin 24h · now 27¢
Sparta Rotterdam vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5
Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $55.3K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 27¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.