The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 32¢

Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-05-16?

Sports · resolves May 16 · vol $415.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.