Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 50.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the twap chainlink data stream for the asset pair eth/usd, not according to any other sources or spot markets — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets — https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.