The market moved
+43.0ppin 24h · now 94¢
Ethereum Up or Down on August 22?
Crypto · resolves Aug 22 · vol $20.7K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 94¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 43.0pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 18.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.