The market moved

+14.5ppin 24h · now 65¢

Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?

Crypto · resolves May 16 · vol $18.9K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 65¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 10.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.