The market moved

-0.2ppin 24h · now

Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?

Geopolitics · resolves Sep 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on israeli government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Israeli government — https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cly67g7pdlko.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.