The market moved

+0.3ppin 24h · now

Fact Check: Was the Trump shooter "a Chinese man"?

Politics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1812274458062668044.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.