The market moved

+38.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Other · resolves Sep 17 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 38.0pp shift. Resolution depends on by looking at the 4 hour time window seven days after the debate (which is currently september 17), between 12 pm et and — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: by looking at the 4 hour time window seven days after the debate (which is currently September 17), between 12 PM ET and — https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.