The market moved
-12.4ppin 24h · now 63¢
FDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine?
Other · resolves Jul 24 · vol $20.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 63¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.