The market moved
+32.5ppin 24h · now 55¢
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $235.40
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 55¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 32.5pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.