The market moved
+0.7ppin 24h · now 98¢
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5
Sports · resolves Jun 8 · vol $150.69
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 98¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.