The market moved
+5.0ppin 24h · now 92¢
Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 0.5
Sports · resolves Jun 6 · vol $1.2K
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 92¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 6.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.