The market moved
+6.0ppin 24h · now 56¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
Sports · resolves Jul 7 · vol $203.47
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 56¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 40.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.