The market moved

-5.5ppin 24h · now 36¢

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 4.5 Corners

Sports · resolves Jun 14 · vol $46.14

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 11.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.