The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now 79¢

Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 0.5

Sports · resolves Jun 25 · vol $530.50

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 79¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 10.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.