The market moved
+6.3ppin 24h · now 96¢
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 21 · vol $25.38
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 96¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.3pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.