The market moved
-3.0ppin 24h · now 47¢
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
Sports · resolves Jun 15 · vol $17.32
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 47¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.