The market moved
+4.5ppin 24h · now 72¢
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
Sports · resolves Jul 11 · vol $130.42
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 72¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.