The market moved
-8.0ppin 24h · now 52¢
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
Sports · resolves Jun 26 · vol $539.06
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 52¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.