The market moved
-6.5ppin 24h · now 43¢
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
Sports · resolves Jul 2 · vol $1.2K
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 17.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.