The market moved

-18.5ppin 24h · now 36¢

FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5

Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $30.0K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.