The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 29¢
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5
Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $66.42
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 29¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 36.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.