GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.