The market moved

-9.0ppin 24h · now 45¢

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

AI · resolves Jun 22 · vol $6.4K

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 45¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.