The market moved
+22.5ppin 24h · now 87¢
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?
Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $1.5K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 87¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 22.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.