The market moved

-40.9ppin 24h · now

Grok 4.6 released on August 26, 2026?

Other · resolves Aug 26 · vol $405.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 40.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.