The market moved

+3.0ppin 24h · now 74¢

Grok (Web) Outage by December 31, 2026?

Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $256.90

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 74¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on status.x.ai — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: status.x.ai — https://status.x.ai/grok-com.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.