The market moved
-12.5ppin 24h · now 42¢
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?
Other · resolves Oct 31 · vol $240.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on status.x.ai — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: status.x.ai — https://status.x.ai/grok-com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.