The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Science · resolves Jun 30 · vol $5.6K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 8¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.